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Saturday, August 2, 2025

Real estate stocks plunge as rate cut hopes go topsy-turvy

 Real estate stocks tumbled despite strong quarterly results as the U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut odds went on a wild journey since Wednesday.

The Fed kept its benchmark policy rate at 4.25%-4.50%, as widely expected, on Wednesday. Chair Jerome Powell signaled that policymakers were in no hurry to cut interest rates.

Chances of a September rate cut plunged below 50% after Powell's hawkish remarks, and then fell below 40% on Thursday after a stubborn inflation report. But Friday's jobs data has caused a significant reversal, sending the odds back above 80%.

The S&P 500 Real Estate Index Sector (SP500-60) was down 3.47% from the prior week to 259.22, while the accompanying Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF (NYSEARCA:XLRE) declined 3.51% to 41.29.

Dow Jones REIT Indx Equity REIT Total Return Index (NASDAQ:REIT:IND) fell 3.55% on a weekly basis to 2,608.98, while FTSE NAREIT Equity REITS retreated 3.57% to 753.55.

Meanwhile, the earnings season continued on a positive note for the real estate companies. Here is a look at the week's major earnings releases:

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