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Sunday, January 31, 2021

NYS to develop wind turbine plant on Brooklyn waterfront

Climate activists had pushed plan for South Brooklyn Marine Terminal


The South Brooklyn Marine Terminal (Google Maps; Waterfront Alliance)

The South Brooklyn Marine Terminal (Google Maps; Waterfront Alliance) 

The South Brooklyn Marine Terminal is set to be transformed into a hub for renewable energy.

The New York State Energy Research and Development Authority last week announced a partnership with Norwegian energy company Equinor to turn the site into a wind turbine manufacturing space, a project that will be completed in 2025, City & State reported.

The Sunset Park project represents the largest procurement of renewable energy by any state government, and comes after the collapse of Industry City’s controversial rezoning.

The waterfront terminal, between 29th and 36th streets, is operated under a lease by both Industry City and the Red Hook Container Terminal, and includes 73 acres of unused space. The main tenant is a recycling plant operator, Sims Metal Management.

Under the plan, NYSERDA will invest $200 million in the terminal, and Equinor, partnered with BP, will invest the same amount.

“One of the obstacles to developing offshore wind in the U.S. is, there haven’t been these types of manufacturing facilities available,” Nilda Mesa, adjunct professor at the Columbia University School of International and Public Affairs, told City & State. “And so to develop one here bodes well for the future.”

The facility will complement a plan backed by the Cuomo administration for a huge offshore wind farm near the Hamptons.

Waterfront advocates have been calling for the marine terminal to be a wind power infrastructure hub for at least three years.

The plan has been hailed as a win by local activists, including one who said the Industry City rezoning would gentrify Sunset Park.

“This is an example that another world really is possible,” said Elizabeth Yeampierre of advocacy group Uprose. “New York City is going to position itself as a leader on climate justice.”

https://therealdeal.com/2021/01/21/state-to-develop-wind-turbine-plant-on-brooklyn-waterfront/

Q4 2020 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate

 The BEA has released the underlying details for the Q4 advance GDP report.


The BEA reported that investment in non-residential structures increased at a 3.0% annual pace in Q4. This followed four consecutive quarterly declines (weakness started before the pandemic).  On an annual basis, investment in non-residential structures was off 9.5% in 2020 from 2019.

Investment in petroleum and natural gas structures increased sharply in Q4 compared to Q3, but was still down 37% year-over-year.  On an annual basis, investment in petroleum and natural gas structures was off 39% in 2020 compared to 2019.

Office Investment as Percent of GDPClick on graph for larger image.

The first graph shows investment in offices, malls and lodging as a percent of GDP.

Investment in offices decreased in Q4, and was only 6.1% year-over-year.

Investment in multimerchandise shopping structures (malls) peaked in 2007 and was down about 19% year-over-year in Q4 - and at a record low as a percent of GDP.   The vacancy rate for malls is still very high, so investment will probably stay low for some time.

Lodging investment decreased in Q4, and lodging investment was down 23% year-over-year.

All three sectors - offices, malls, and hotels - are being hurt significantly by the pandemic.

Residential Investment ComponentsThe second graph is for Residential investment components as a percent of GDP. According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, RI includes new single family structures, multifamily structures, home improvement, Brokers’ commissions and other ownership transfer costs, and a few minor categories (dormitories, manufactured homes).

Even though investment in single family structures has increased from the bottom, single family investment is still low, and still below the bottom for previous recessions as a percent of GDP.

Investment in single family structures was $337 billion (SAAR) (about 1.6% of GDP), and up 16.2% year-over-year.

Investment in multi-family structures increased in Q4.

Investment in home improvement was at a $306 billion Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate (SAAR) in Q3 (about 1.4% of GDP).  Home improvement spending has been solid during the pandemic.

Note that Brokers' commissions (black) increased sharply as existing home sales increased in the second half of 2020, and was up 32% year-over-year in Q4.

Tuesday, January 26, 2021

Tishman Speyer SPAC Takes Proptech Firm Latch Public At $1.5B Valuation

Tishman Speyer is latching onto proptech with its special purpose acquisition company's latest addition.

TS Innovation Acquisitions Corp. has acquired Latch Inc., maker of software-as-a-service, or SaaS, platform LatchOS. The deal, which will take Latch public, values the proptech company at a little more than $1.5B.

Founded as the private company Latchable in 2014, Latch specializes in smart locks and building management software. About 10% of new apartment developments in the U.S. installed its tech in 2019, according to the company.

Latch will net around $450M in cash in the deal. That will include capital from the SPAC but also other investors, such as funds managed by BlackRock, Fidelity Investments and D1 Capital Partners. Tishman Speyer will receive a 4% stake in Latch.

"This transaction provides the capital for Latch to accelerate our product and market expansion and drive bookings growth," Latch CEO Luke Schoenfelder said in a statement. "Furthermore, Latch will be able to harness Tishman Speyer’s global real estate platform to more rapidly create new products."

Though its SPAC is relatively new, founded only last year, Tishman Speyer is no stranger to investing in proptech ventures, taking stakes in recent years in about a dozen of them, The Wall Street Journal reports.

“Real estate has been an industry that has been technology-resistant for decades,” Tishman Speyer CEO Rob Speyer told the WSJ. “It’s hitting this period of massive disruption. It’s entrepreneurs like Luke and companies like Latch that are leading this wave of disruption.”

SPACs, also called blank check companies, are an increasingly popular investment vehicle, including among large commercial real estate companies. They are entities set up to go public but that don't run their own businesses. Instead, SPAC capital is used to acquire other companies, taking them public in a reverse merger.

Last year, 248 SPACs were established, according to SPAC Insider, compared with 59 in 2019. Already this year, 67 SPACs have been established.

Last summer, a blank check company called PropTech Acquisition Corp. paid $523M for Porch, an online real estate and home improvement marketplace, and an affiliate of Lionheart Capital filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission to raise $200M to acquire proptech.

In November, Jaws Acquisition Corp., a SPAC backed by real estate investment mogul Barry Sternlicht, inked a deal to acquire Cano Health. That same month, CBRE formed a SPAC, CBRE Acquisition Holdings.

https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/technology/tishman-speyers-spac-snaps-up-proptech-company-latch-for-15b-107489 

7 Insights for Landlords on the Federal Eviction Moratorium

 Two attorneys last year joined the National Real Estate Investors Association for an online discussion to help landlords and property managers understand how best to deal with the federal eviction moratorium.

The nationwide federal eviction moratorium has been ordered through the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) to halt residential evictions through the end of March 2021 for non-payment of rent due to Covid-19.

Both lawyers discussed the issues, the affidavits that tenants must provide to show how they have been affected by COVID-19 in order to qualify under the federal eviction moratorium, and how attorneys could challenge the affidavits in court when necessary.

You can hear the full discussion here on YouTube.

Attorneys Jeff Watson, in Cleveland, and Jeffrey Greenberger, in Cincinnati, gave their thoughts – not legal advice – on how landlords could best react to the moratorium. They were introduced by Charles Tassell, chief operating officer of the National Real Estate Investors Association.

“We have gone from unprecedented to crazy,” Watson said. “What concerns me the most  is that this is now creating precedent for future administrations, future agencies, to use this as a rationale, to stop all sorts of economic commerce across the United States of America, any particular form of commerce, any type of interaction, any type of business agreement, (or) consumer agreement that they don’t like.”

No. 1- Landlords can still file evictions

“I need you to understand it’s called a moratorium,” Greenberger said. “It doesn’t mean you can’t file evictions against your tenants.”

Greenberger explained that legal-aid societies are going to provide copies of affidavits for tenants to sign, “and they’re going to ask everyone going in, ‘Are you a tenant?’ And they’re going to say, ‘Sign it.’ And they’re not going to tell people that there’s the possibility they could go to prison if it’s not accurate, which is true,” he said.

They are going to tell the tenant, “You don’t have to leave. You don’t have to pay your rent for the next, at least four months, probably a year,” Greenberger continued. “All you do is sign this piece of paper, no harm, and that’s all wrong, but that’s what’s going to happen. And the problem is that as soon as the tenant signs, that piece of paper – and I’m oversimplifying it a little bit – the court has to stop the eviction.”

He pointed out that attorneys could challenge the affidavits in court and that landlords and property managers need to help out their eviction attorneys by documenting all the proper evidence needed by the courts.

Landlords should be asking local attorneys in their city or state lots of questions.

No. 2 – Is it better now to use month-to-month leases?

One of the possibilities discussed is whether landlords would be better in this environment to go to shorter leases.

  • Is it better to continue doing your long leases?
  • Or should you move to a month-to-month leasing process? And does that help get around the moratorium issue? Because with a month-to-month lease, a landlord or property manager can say, “I am not renewing your lease. I am just not renting to you any longer.”

Both attorneys pointed out that there are many laws on this lease issue in different states, counties and cities, so landlords need to consult their local attorneys. But “that’s been one of the suggestions brought forward in Ohio.”

They pointed out the CARES Act is still in place, with its eviction rules.

No. 3 – Sue tenants for rent, not eviction

“There is no moratorium on suing people for rent,” Greenberger said.  “I think the new moratorium might allow a little crack of light, but it’s a state-by-state, city-by-city possibility. And I think it’s a very slim crack of light. What I’m recommending to people (is) you just sue people for rent – not for eviction – in small-claims court,” he said.

“Some of my clients are hiring me out hourly” to sue tenants, Greenberger said. “We’re not evicting them. We’re just saying ‘you now owe four months in rent and it continues to accrue. And on the day of judgment, we’ll take a judgment against you.’ “ He said once a judgment is entered and the tenant is working, a landlord can take wage garnishment or go after bank accounts.

No. 4 – Establish communication with tenants and document it

Watson said that he’s been advising landlords and property managers to be proactive with tenants.

“I have maintained a lot of communication, much more than the normal, with all my tenants during this particular season. And if there’s something wrong, I want to know about it.

“And so, I’m telling folks (to) establish a pattern of communication, because under that CDC moratorium, there’s got to be communication. And if there’s not bilateral communication, then that’s a very big piece of evidence,” which can be presented to the court in the landlord’s favor.

Watson suggested it might be appropriate to start putting back into rental agreements that a tenant’s failure to communicate with the landlord is evidence of a non-monetary default on the lease.

Watson said he has learned how to communicate with his millennial tenants in the way they want to be communicated with, which is text messages. He can take screen shots of these messages, and keep records to show a court if needed.

Watson said he’s eager to work with tenants who communicate.

He said he tells tenants, “ ‘Talk to me. How can I help you?’ Just last week we had a tenant come in and go, ‘Hey, I changed jobs.  This is what’s going on.’ We work with them. We’ve got a track record.

“This is going to be a test of how well do you do your business of being a landlord. Yes, it’s getting infinitely harder. You’ve got a vested interest. You’ve got communication skills. You understand why every word in that lease is there,” he said.

No. 5 – Landlords don’t bring your phone to court to show evidence

“As a practicing attorney, lots of my clients come into court with me and say, ‘I’ve got text messages,’ and they try to show me their phone,” Greenberger said.

“If you don’t want your phone held as evidence in the court files for the next two years, you need to bring those printed-out multiple copies if you want those entered into evidence, otherwise I have to have your phone seized and entered into evidence. So please don’t do that to me or your own attorney,” Greenberger said.

No. 6 – Federal eviction moratorium only applies to tenants not paying rent

Watson pointed out that the CDC moratorium applies only to tenants who are not paying rent, who are being evicted for nonpayment of rent. If they’re a bad actor – or in other terms, if they have breached the rental agreement in other ways – you can go through the regular process under the CDC federal eviction moratorium and move for their eviction, though it will take longer. You’ll have to do the proper notice procedures as your state dictates.

Charles Tassell of National REIA pointed out the Ohio Supreme court came out with a ruling that evictions still may be filed for reasons other than nonpayment of rent. “You’re going to see this as pretty much standard across the board, but that’s the kind of thing to keep in mind. There are still venues, but it depends on … are they violating their lease or not?”

In terms of working out payment agreements with tenants, Tassell pointed out that the CDC says tenants are supposed to make payments “to the best of their ability, up to the full amount of the rent.”

Watson said this “goes back to best efforts. The tenant has to show you that they’re making their best efforts. So if they’re down at Best Buy buying another big-screen TV … I’m sorry, that’s not going to work. They are going to have to show you their spending habits when they are not paying rent.”

Tenants have to show how much they have available to pay rent.

In the affidavit the tenant is supposed to provide, they have to say, “I have used best efforts to obtain all available government assistance for rent or housing,” Greenberger said. He said the law says everyone in the household must sign an affidavit.

The attorneys said it might make sense – but consult your local attorney – to file your eviction case before you get the tenant’s affidavit. Then your attorney can argue to strike the affidavit, unless you are under some other kind of eviction order from your state.

No. 7 – The problem is the “one-size-fits-all” with the CDC eviction moratorium

“This is not the time to be doing your own evictions,” Watson said.  There is a $200,000 penalty or fine for violating the order.”

Watson said landlords should:

  • Know your business
  • Communicate with your tenants
  • Use Voter Voice
  • Share your wins with tenants

Summary

Tassell said to focus on what landlords can do about the federal eviction moratorium is to contact local elected officials using Voter Voice. He said he expects constitutional lawyers will address this issue at the national level. This is a developing situation, he said, and he expects lawsuits to be coming across the country.

Source: rentalhousingjournal.com

https://www.american-apartment-owners-association.org/property-management/landlord-quick-tips/7-insights-for-landlords-on-the-federal-eviction-moratorium

Monday, January 25, 2021

As NY's Budget Holes Grow, Casino In Manhattan Could Become Reality

 

The developers of TSX Broadway locked down a $1.1B construction loan last year.

A casino could be coming to a massive mixed-use development in Times Square. 

Developer L&L Holding Co. is considering submitting a proposal to build a casino in TSX Broadway, the $2.5B mixed-use project at 1568 Broadway set to be completed by 2024, a source close to the project confirmed to Bisnow. Bloomberg first reported the news last week.

This is the latest in a recent flurry of activity to develop a casino in New York City amid massive state budget holes and a slumping real estate market.

Vornado Realty Trust is discussing proposing a casino in Herald Square, while the owner of an Atlantic City casino, Morris Bailey, has considered building one in the area as well, The New York Times reports

Meanwhile, New York City mayoral hopeful Andrew Yang, a Democrat who ran for president in 2020, discussed putting a casino on Governors Island, saying it would bring in “so much money it would be bananas,” while on an episode of the popular podcast The Breakfast Club. This idea is far-fetched, given the fact that the deed for the island explicitly bans a casino, Politico reported last week. 

The renewed interest in establishing a New York City-based casino comes eight years after New Yorkers across the state voted to allow seven “Las Vegas-style” casinos to be built in 2013. 

At that time, four upstate casinos were approved, but the consideration of New York City-area proposals was delayed until 2023 to allow the upstate casinos the chance to flourish first, with the hopes of imbuing parts of the upstate economy with the new revenue stream. 

Since then, the four existing casinos have fallen short of expectations, The New York Times reported in 2019. Empire Resorts, which runs one of the casinos, posted a $37M loss in Q2 of 2019 after a $36M Q1 loss.

There are still three outstanding casino permits up for grabs that could go to downstate and New York City proposals. Even before the coronavirus pandemic, lawmakers were considering lifting the pause on downstate proposals. 

“When we did casinos, we were very careful because there’s a lot of money floating around and a lot of lobbyists floating around. And we were very careful to go through a process," Gov. Andrew Cuomo told reporters at Casino.org, a publication focused on the gambling industry, in 2019. "It was primarily for upstate New York." 

At that time, companies hoping to establish casinos in Queens and Yonkers were offering the state $500M for each location.

With the coronavirus prompting major budget shortfalls, the drive to increase revenue in any way possible has lowered resistance to New York City casinos, The Times reports. 

Cuomo's most recent budget proposal released this month would allow developers to submit plans for casinos downstate. The state’s Gaming Commission found that allowing some existing gambling venues in the New York City area to become casinos could rake in $500M to $800M for the state, The Journal News reported last week. 

“If I can raise a billion dollars without raising a penny in taxes, I think that’s a good deal,” state Rep. Gary Pretlow, who represents parts of Westchester, told the Times last week. 

https://www.bisnow.com/new-york/news/construction-development/tsx-broadway-casino-107484

Saturday, January 23, 2021

NY Puts Clinics In NYCHA Buildings To Encourage More Blacks To Get COVID Vax

 

Residents of the William Reid Apartments rest for a few minutes after receiving the first dose of the COVID-19 vaccine at a pop-up vaccination site in the William Reid Houses NYCHA housing complex in Brooklyn.
Residents of the William Reid Apartments rest for a few minutes after receiving the first dose of the COVID-19 vaccine at a pop-up vaccination site in the William Reid Houses NYCHA housing complex in Brooklyn. MARY ALTAFFER/AP/SHUTTERSTOCK



In an effort to set up clinics in communities hit hard by COVID-19 and foster equity and trust in the medical system, Governor Andrew Cuomo announced Saturday that the state will establish more vaccination sites at several additional churches and NYCHA public housing complexes this week.

The sites at the NYCHA buildings will serve eligible residents of those complexes. Those news sites are the Randall Avenue-Balcom Avenue Housing complex and the Union Avenue-East 163rd Street Housing complex in the Bronx, and the William Reid Houses and Vandalia Avenue Housing complex in Brooklyn.

Two churches are also going to operate vaccination clinics this upcoming Tuesday only: St. Luke’s Episcopal Church in the Bronx and Bethany Baptist Church in Brooklyn, which are located in predominately Black neighborhods. The church clinic appointments will be scheduled independently by each individual church, according to the state.

The sites were selected to operate in neighborhoods that were heavily affected by COVID-19, Cuomo said at a press conference at the William Reid Houses Saturday. He urged residents to avail themselves of the vaccine.

“Take the vaccine. It will save lives and it can save your life. We know Blacks have a higher infection rate. We know they're more essential workers. They're more exposed to it,” he said. “Please take the vaccine. We'll make it accessible, but we need you to accept it, and that's what we're here to do today.”

A December survey conducted by the Pew Research Center showed that 42% of Black Americans were willing to take the COVID-19 vaccine, according to FiveThirtyEight, with "experts (saying) there is long-standing mistreatment of Black Americans in U.S. health care research and lingering suspicion from that mistreatment about how the American health care system treats them."

The new neighborhood clinics will be operated by the SOMOS Community Care health network, with the state delivering Community Vaccination Kits with office supplies, equipment, and PPE as well as vials and syringes for the vaccines. SOMOS officials expect to vaccinate 1,000 senior citizens at the four NYCHA housing complexes on Saturday, and Cuomo pledged that all 33 NYCHA housing complexes will eventually have dedicated access to the vaccine.

Representatives Hakeem Jeffries and Yvette Clarke, who both represent Brooklyn, also spoke at the press conference to ask that Black New Yorkers get vaccinated.

“COVID-19 will kill you and we have seen that particularly with devastating consequences in Black communities, in low-income communities, and in traditionally underserved communities,” Jeffries said.

“(This) means telling everyone you know who is high-risk to come and get vaccinated. So call grandma, grandpa, auntie, uncle, and let them know: we have to get vaccinated. It will save their lives,” Clarke said.

However, supply of the vaccines continues to be an issue. The state’s health care distribution sites have received 1,178,850 first doses and administered 92 percent or 1,084,814 first dose vaccinations, Cuomo’s office said Saturday. Next week’s allocation of 250,400 first doses began arriving in shipments in mid-week.

Mayor Bill de Blasio has said he wants the city to be able to vaccinate 1 million people by the end of January, though on Wednesday the city rescheduled thousands of people’s vaccine appointments because a shipment of the Moderna shot has been delayed. De Blasio has also prioritized older residents living in NYCHA to receive the shot through an initiative that will transport the elderly to various vaccine hubs.

The decision whether to use the state’s allocation of the reserved second doses to instead vaccinate more people for their first round will have to come from the federal government, Cuomo said Saturday.

“It has to be approved by the federal government, if they have the production to produce enough second dosages,” he said. “But they have to make sure they have enough to do the second dosage. In other words, that's the federal calculus, right?”


https://gothamist.com/news/state-sets-clinics-nycha-buildings-encourage-more-black-new-yorkers-get-covid-19-vaccine

Friday, January 22, 2021

$200B of Investment Capital Seen Coming Off Sidelines This Year

 This year, a significant amount of capital is set to hit the commercial real estate investment market. During the uncertainty of 2020, more than $200 billion has sat on the sidelines, waiting out the market uncertainty. Those investors are poised to return this year, driving investment activity.

“By most estimates, there is more than $200 billion in capital sitting on sidelines coming into 2021. We believe that capital will be deployed in 2021, as we come out of the downturn. Some properties are distressed and will provide higher cap rates of at least a percent which will attract value-add investors,” Mark Seale, principal and director of brokerage services at Avison Young, tells GlobeSt.com.

This capital won’t necessarily land in the same place that it did before the pandemic. Seale has pinpointed multifamily and Phoenix as the top areas of interest for investors in 2021. “We also believe that capital will be looking to the multifamily sector in Phoenix as the population continues to grow and there are no rent control measures as there are in other top markets such as California and New York,” he says.

Investors are also looking in emerging markets for office opportunities as well, driven largely by new trends in office usage catalyzed by the pandemic. “Investor interest is now looking beyond Silicon Valley for start-up investment capital,” says Seale. “Many CEOs are seriously considering moving out of California or are at least looking to add a location in Phoenix. The tech sector has been on the rise as a young, educated workforce—many coming out of the number of colleges in the Phoenix area—is seeking tech jobs.”

Retail will also rebound this year. Seale expects an increase in retail sector investment in 2021. “Owners have hung on to an extent through the pandemic, but those who have had property values weakened are likely to find this as a good time to get out of shopping center assets that have tenancy issues forever altered by the pandemic,” says Seale.

Investment activity will be driven by more than just acquisition opportunities. Some experts are expecting the cost of capital to increase by the middle of the year. “Many experts are predicting that the 10-year treasury yield will double by middle of 2021—this will impact interest rates,” says Seale. “A majority of investors are seeking to acquire assets now as borrowing money is anticipated to be more expensive soon. Phoenix is a strategic choice to invest.”

https://www.globest.com/2021/01/21/200b-of-investment-capital-will-enter-the-market-in-2021

2020 Existing Home Sales Highest Since 2006 In 'Unhealthy Market'

 Despite the usual seasonal slowdown expected, Existing Home Sales rose modestly in December (+0.7% MoM vs -1.9% MoM exp), bucking the trend of downturn into year-end...

Source: Bloomberg

For the full year, existing-home sales climbed to 5.64 million, up from 5.34 million in each of the prior two years.

This is the highest year-end level for existing home sales since 2006...

Source: Bloomberg

The median selling price rose 12.9% in December from a year earlier on an unadjusted basis to $309,800, reflecting more purchases of higher-end properties.

“Homeowners are smiling because they’re seeing price increases,” Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, said on a call with reporters.

“The frustration is coming from the first-time buyers who don’t have any housing equity and they’re trying to save up for a down payment.

“Today’s market is unhealthy, people are making hurried decisions and prices are rising way above income growth,” Yun said.

Additionally, available inventory declined 23% from a year earlier to 1.07 million units, the NAR said. It would take 1.9 months to sell all the homes on the market at the current pace, also a record low.

https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/2020-existing-home-sales-highest-2006-unhealthy-market

Thursday, January 21, 2021

Mortgage provider Caliber Home Loans revives $345M IPO with new blank filing

 Caliber Home Loans, a residential mortgage producer and servicer, revived its IPO plans on Thursday with a blank filing after postponing its $345 million IPO in October 2020. In its latest filing, the company disclosed updated financials for the nine months ended September 30, 2020.


Caliber Home Loans was founded in 1963 and booked $2.4 billion in sales for the 12 months ended September 30, 2020. It plans to list on the NYSE under the symbol HOMS. Credit Suisse, Goldman Sachs, Barclays, BofA Securities, Citi, UBS Investment Bank, and Wells Fargo Securities are the joint bookrunners on the deal. No pricing terms were disclosed.