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Friday, November 17, 2023

Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in October

 Chart of the Week:  Mortgage Rates Follow MBS Yields, Not 10-Year Treasury Yields


For an explanation of “why”, see Lawler: Update on Mortgage/Treasury Spreads

From Tom Lawler:

Mortgage Rate vs. MBS Spread30 Year FRM: Optimal Blue Conventional Conforming 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage where LTV<=80% and FICO>740.

CC MBS Yield: Yield on notional par agency 30-year MBS

Note: there is some “spurious” volatility in the mortgage spreads because Optimal Blue measures rate lock activity throughout the day while the MBS and Treasury yields reflect late afternoon yields.

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