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Sunday, June 8, 2025

Asking Rents Are Falling in 28 Major U.S. Metros—the Most Since 2023

 

  • The median U.S. asking rent dropped 1% year over year to $1,633 in May as elevated apartment supply gave renters room to negotiate.
  • Asking rents fell fastest in Austin, down 9% to the lowest level since 2021.
  • Rents hit a record high in four metros: Chicago, Cincinnati, Memphis and Washington, D.C.

The median U.S. asking rent fell 1% year over year in May to $1,633, which is $72 below the August 2022 record high. On a month-over-month basis, the median U.S. asking rent rose 0.5% in May—typical for this time of year.

Overall, 28 of the 44 major U.S. core-based statistical areas (CBSAs) Redfin analyzed saw asking rents decline last month—the highest number since September 2023.

“Apartment construction in America has been hovering near a 50-year high, and even though renter demand is strong, it’s not keeping pace with supply,” said Redfin Senior Economist Sheharyar Bokhari. “Many units are sitting vacant for months, which means renters have power to negotiate concessions and landlords have less leeway to keep rents high.”

Multifamily construction surged in the wake of the pandemic moving frenzy, and while it has started to taper off, it’s still at historically high levels. As it continues to slow, asking rents may rebound.

The rental vacancy rate for buildings with five or more units was 8.2% in the first quarter—the most recent period for which data is available. That’s tied with the prior quarter for the highest level since early 2021. Less than half of newly built apartments are getting rented out within three months—one of the lowest shares on record. 

While asking rents are falling, they’re much less volatile than they were during the pandemic.  May marked the 15th-straight month in which asking rents barely decreased or increased, with a year-over-year change of roughly 1% or less during each of those months. Those changes pale in comparison to the wild swings during the pandemic era, when asking rents jumped as much as 17.7% and fell as much as 4.1%.

Austin Asking Rents Drop to Four-Year Low as Building Spree Continues


In 
Austin, TX, the median asking rent dropped 8.8% year over year to $1,385 in May—the lowest level since February 2021 and $414 below the August 2023 record high. That’s the largest decline in percentage terms among the 44 major CBSAs Redfin analyzed. Next came Minneapolis (-6.3%), Columbus, OH (-3.5%), Nashville (-3.4%) and Portland, OR (-3.4%).

Austin granted permits to build 64.5 multifamily units for every 10,000 people from April 2024 to March 2025—a higher number than any other metro Redfin analyzed in a separate report. Columbus and Nashville also ranked in the top 10 when it came to multifamily permitting. Columbus’s 3.5% asking-rent decline marked the largest drop for that metro in records dating back to 2019.

With rents falling and homebuying costs rising in many U.S. cities, a lot of Americans are opting to keep renting. 

“I’m not seeing many first-time homebuyers right now,” said Nicole Stewart, a Redfin Premier real estate agent in Boise, ID. “Rental rates here are still more manageable than saving up for a down payment and mortgage. People are finding rentals that are nicer than the house they could afford at the same monthly cost. That’s in part because a lot of home sellers are overpricing their properties as they struggle to adjust to the changing housing market.”

The typical U.S. homebuyer needs to earn over $50,000 more than the typical renter to afford monthly housing payments, and the gap has been widening due to high home prices and mortgages rates.

Asking Rents Hit Record High in Four U.S. Metros

 

In Cincinnati, the median asking rent rose 7.4% year over year to a record $1,460 in May—the largest increase among the 44 CBSAs Redfin analyzed. The second largest gain was in Tampa, FL (4.2%), followed by St. Louis (4%), Pittsburgh (3.5%) and Birmingham, AL (2.4%).

Aside from Cincinnati, three metros saw rents hit a record high in May: Chicago (up 1.9% Y/Y to $1,781), Memphis (1.9% to $1,274) and Washington, D.C. (2.4% to $2,104).

All metros in this section aside from Tampa and Washington D.C. are permitting less multifamily construction than the national average, which may be buoying rents.

Asking Rents Are Falling Fastest for Two Bedroom Apartments


The median asking rent for 0-1 bedroom apartments fell 0.7% year over year to $1,492. For 2 bedroom apartments, it decreased 1.8% to $1,704—the largest decline since February 2024. And for 3+ bedroom apartments, it fell 0.2% to $2,009—the smallest decline in about a year.

Metro-level summary: three months ending May 31, 2025

The table below includes 44 of the 50 most populous U.S. CBSAs—those for which Rent. and Redfin have sufficient rental data.

Methodology


Median asking rent figures in this report cover newly listed units in apartment buildings with five or more units. The median is calculated based on a rolling three-month period, i.e., the median asking rent for May 2025 covers rentals that were listed on Rent.com and Redfin.com during the three months ending May 31, 2025. Redfin’s rental records date back to 2019. 

Metro-level data in this report cover 44 of the 50 most populous U.S. core-based statistical areas (CBSAs)—those for which Rent. and Redfin have sufficient rental data. The national figures are based on data for the entire U.S. 

Asking rents reflect the current costs of new leases during each time period. In other words, the amount shown as the median asking rent is not the median of what all renters are paying, but the median asking price of apartments that were available for new renters during the report period.

https://www.redfin.com/news/rental-tracker-may-2025/


Saturday, June 7, 2025

Dozens of New Jersey suburbs have more renters than homeowners — more than any other state

 In the Garden State, signing a deed to buy a home is being outnumbered in certain areas by inking a lease to rent one. 

As housing affordability continues to decline nationwide, a growing number of New Jersey suburbs especially are now dominated by renters — recasting the classic vision of suburban life.

A new analysis of US Census data by Point2Homes reveals that 39 New Jersey suburbs with populations more than 10,000 are now renter-majority — a figure that leads the nation. 

New Jersey suburbs are becoming ground zero for the rise of the “renter majority,” as the dream of suburban homeownership slips further out of reach.Col. Wilson – stock.adobe.com

Once a haven for aspiring homeowners who wanted to maintain close ties to New York City, the state’s inner-ring suburbs are seeing significant demographic and economic transformation as more residents lease rather than buy.

Places like Harrison, Union City, West New York, Passaic and Elizabeth are among the top 20 suburbs in the country with the highest shares of renter households.

In Harrison, located near Newark, over 81% of households are occupied by renters; in Union City, it’s nearly 80%. The trend isn’t just about where people are living — it’s about how.

According to a recent study by Point2Homes, 39 New Jersey suburbs now have more renters than homeowners — more than any other state represented in the national analysis.John McAdorey – stock.adobe.com
Places like Harrison, Union City, West New York, Passaic and Elizabeth top the list, with renter rates exceeding 74%.Fotosforthefuture/Wirestock Creators – stock.adobe.com

The shift reflects both an affordability crisis and changing attitudes about homeownership, according to the National Association of Home Builders, which noted that nearly 75% of US households cannot afford a median-priced new home in 2025 — now hovering around $460,000 with a 30-year mortgage rate at 6.5%.

In New Jersey, the shift is particularly stark. 

Of the 15 suburbs nationwide that flipped from homeowner-majority to renter-majority between 2018 and 2023, four are in New Jersey — more than any other state. 

From 2018 to 2023, four New Jersey suburbs — including Bound Brook and Secaucus — were among the top 15 nationwide to tip into renter-majority status.Luis – stock.adobe.com

Bound Brook, for example, saw its renter population jump from just under 50% to more than 58%. 

North Arlington, East Franklin and Secaucus also made the list, each undergoing a similar transformation.

Meanwhile, Elizabeth and Paterson added more than 3,500 renter households each over the past five years, ranking among the top 10 suburbs nationwide for absolute growth in renter households.

The movement isn’t just driven by rising home prices — it’s also a response to skyrocketing urban rents, especially considering nearby New York. 

The trend reflects both affordability challenges and broader cultural shifts: younger generations shaped by the 2008 housing crash are increasingly opting to rent, not just for financial reasons but for flexibility, remote work compatibility and proximity to transit.Bildgigant – stock.adobe.com
In places like Elizabeth and Union Township, large-scale rental developments near train stations are rapidly reshaping once ownership-dominated landscapes, catering to renters priced out of New York City and nearby urban centers.Felix Mizioznikov – stock.adobe.com

Younger generations, especially millennials and Gen Z, are turning to suburban rentals as a middle ground: close enough to transit, but far enough from the eye-watering rents on or on the other side of the Hudson.

Developers have responded in kind. 

In places like Union Township and Elizabeth, mid-rise apartment buildings have cropped up near train stations, catering to commuters and remote workers alike.

https://nypost.com/2025/06/06/real-estate/these-nj-suburbs-now-have-more-renters-than-homeowners/

Fannie Multi-Family Delinquency Rate Highest Since Jan 2011 (ex-Pandemic)

 


• Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rates Decreased in April

• Q1 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO

• 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in May

• June ICE Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Continue to Cool

• Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year

This is usually published 4 to 6 times a week and provides more in-depth analysis of the housing market.

Friday, June 6, 2025

Southern California air regulators reject rules to phase out gas furnaces and water heaters

 Manufacturers of gas-powered furnaces and water heaters will not be urged — yet — to sell more electric appliances over the coming years, with proposed new guidance from the region’s air quality regulator being rejected by its governing board on Friday, June 6.

The South Coast Air Quality Management District, the air quality regulator for 17 million residents in large swaths of Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside and San Bernardino counties, rejected two rules aimed at increasing the prevalence of electric heating systems on the market on Friday.

The Governing Board, though, passed a motion to send the item back to committee for further consideration and reevaluation — though the proposal will likely not come before the board again this year, AQMD staff said.

The rejection of the amendments to the two rules — which were initially approved in 1978 — would have implemented an option for manufacturers to sell more zero-emission furnaces and water heaters, or pay mitigation fees if they opt to sell natural gas-powered appliances instead.

Starting in 2030, manufacturers would have been asked to hit a zero-emission appliance sales target of 30%, the air district’s staff report for the Friday hearing said. That target would have gradually risen each year, with a target of 90% by 2036.

The aim of the proposed rules, according to the AQMD, was to eliminate nitrogen oxides pollution in the L.A. Basin, which is one of the leading causes of smog formation in the region.

“Ground level or ‘bad’ ozone is not emitted directly into the air,” according to the EPA, “but is created by chemical reactions between oxides of nitrogen (NOx) and volatile organic compounds in the presence of sunlight.”

Ozone pollution has myriad health impacts. It can cause difficulty breathing and shortness of breath, inflame and damage airways, aggravate lung diseases, worsen asthma, and cause chronic disease in the lungs, the EPA said.

https://www.ocregister.com/2025/06/06/air-quality-regulator-rejects-controversial-plan-to-phase-out-gas-furnaces-water-heaters/