Search This Blog

Saturday, November 6, 2021

De Blasio’s insane ban on propane heaters will crush NYC’s dining scene

 The cranks suing the city to end outdoor street dining over issues like noise and garbage can save their dough on legal fees, because City Hall is about to do the job for them.

Last month, the FDNY, backed by Mayor de Blasio, irrationally banned the use of propane heaters at outdoor restaurants. (Are any of the actions by the worst mayor in Big Apple history not irrational?). The ban will likely spell the end for thousands of places that relied on extra money from outdoor seating to help make up for last year’s catastrophic losses caused by the pandemic.

Never mind that propane tanks used by thousands of Big Apple eateries caused exactly zero accidents last winter. Never mind that they’re legal in most other large US cities. Never mind that they’re allowed on our food trucks and food carts — including several on Park Place just outside City Hall, within blast range of the mayor’s office.

Despite all that, New York’s Bravest proclaim that propane heaters “pose a high risk of death and injury.” Their concern for public safety is rich when several thousand firefighters continue to refuse the COVID vaccine, thus endangering everyone they meet and forcing the shutdowns of some firehouses. (Yes, we love them for saving lives but that is, after all, their job.) The FDNY didn’t respond to questions about the propane ban. 

The city tells owners, in effect: Quit whining! Just switch to electrical heaters or natural gas!

But Derek Kaye, who owns several locations of the Takumi Taco chain as well as NYC Propane Delivery, which sells propane tanks to hundreds of restaurants, summed up the challenge: “Most restaurants don’t have the extra power available for electrical heaters and they don’t have the ability to add any more electrical capacity.” As for natural gas, only a very few places — such as on Broadway’s “restaurant row” across from Lincoln Center — have the means and landlord support to use it. 

Business owners now have to switch to electric heaters, but here's the rub — they don't work!
Business owners now have to switch to electric heaters, but here’s the rub — they don’t work!
Robert Miller

One more picky point about electric heaters that Kaye is too diplomatic to mention: They don’t work. Last winter at Marea, I was half-scalded to death when the red-glowing towers were set too close to my table one night and frostbitten another evening when they were pointed the wrong way.

The mayor ordered the FDNY to waive its long-standing ban on propane at restaurants last year. But the department held a grudge. It tormented owners who bought propane tanks on the strength of the city’s announcement, only to learn that they had to “go through hoops” to actually use them, as Mermaid Inn co-owner Danny Abrams found.

Abrams bought 15 tanks but, “The FDNY came and we had to get rid of them all.” He substituted underperforming electrical units above tables. At his Upper West Side Mermaid Inn, outdoor customers “kept their torsos warm, but they complained that their legs, feet and toes were freezing.”

Bending to the will of the FDNY, Mayor de Blasio banned propane heaters for outdoor restaurants — even though they led to zero accidents last winter.
Bending to the will of the FDNY, Mayor de Blasio banned propane heaters for outdoor restaurants — even though they led to zero accidents last winter.
Gregory P. Mango

Some places stuck with propane despite the hurdles. Now the tanks are history. The ban’s last-minute timing, just before the colder weather hits, has left owners fuming over money they’d wasted on propane heaters in the reasonable expectation that the waiver, which expired last spring, would be renewed.

Kaye suggested a reasonable compromise: Let restaurants apply for propane use under careful guidelines, including having the tanks stored off-premises overnight. He has yet to hear back from City Hall.

De Blasio caved to the FDNY despite surely knowing that the ban would crush restaurants this winter.

You might well ask: Why would he bless a rule that could destroy the alfresco dining program he created — one of his precious few genuine accomplishments?

The FDNY states that propane heaters "pose a high risk of death and injury" but other big cities allow them.
The FDNY states that propane heaters “pose a high risk of death and injury” — but other big cities allow them.
Christopher Sadowski

Don’t think too hard: Government bureaucracies love to throw their weight around just for the thrill of it and elected officials are usually loath to resist. The city and state routinely adopt policies that are guaranteed to negate others. Think of special lanes to make buses move faster while bike lanes and “plazas” slow them to a crawl.

New York City Hospitality Alliance executive director Andrew Rigie accurately observed, “The reality is that many restaurants are still struggling to recover from the pandemic and some of their customers still aren’t comfortable dining indoors because of COVID-19 or they’re prohibited from eating inside because they’re unvaccinated.”

Thanks to City Hall, those customers are chopped liver, served cold.

https://nypost.com/2021/11/06/de-blasios-propane-heaters-ban-will-crush-nyc-dining-scene/

Friday, November 5, 2021

Russian real estate listings platform Cian sets terms for $269 million US IPO

 Cian, which provides a platform for online real estate listings and other services in Russia, announced terms for its US IPO on Thursday.


The Moscow, Russia-based company plans to raise $269 million by offering 18.2 million ADSs (78% secondary) at a price range of $13.50 to $16.00. At the midpoint of the proposed range, Cian would command a market value of $1.0 billion. 

Cian states that it is a leading online real estate classifieds platform in the Russian real estate classifieds market, ranking among the top ten most popular online real estate classifieds globally. In the 1H21, the company had approximately 2.1 million listings available through its platform and average unique monthly visitors of approximately 20.3 million, up from 16.5 million in 2020.

Cian was founded in 2001 and booked $69 million in sales for the 12 months ended June 30, 2021. It plans to dual list on the NYSE and the Moscow Exchange under the symbol CIAN. Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, BofA Securities, Renaissance Securities, and VTB Capital are the joint bookrunners on the deal. It is expected to price during the week of November 1, 2021.

Thursday, November 4, 2021

One Vanderbilt's Green CMBS Loan 'Shattered All Sorts Of Records' With Investor Demand

 As building sustainability becomes increasingly important for office users to sign a lease, financing new office developments or renovations is about to get greener.

Placeholder
One Vanderbilt in Midtown Manhattan, which opened in 2020

As lenders have raised funds dedicated to sustainability-driven investment, they are increasingly looking to place that capital into the renovation and construction of office buildings that focus on environmentally friendly design and development, speakers at Bisnow’s Future of the Workplace event last week said. 

“The PIMCOs, the BlackRocks, the pension funds — they only have so much money to allocate to real estate,” Wells Fargo Managing Director Robert Rosenberg said. “But they all have new buckets of capital to allocate to whatever the asset class is to green financing … the folks they are investing for, they all want to know they're investing in environmental and sustainably conscious good causes. So you're gonna see a lot more of this.” 

Over the past year, investors such as CBRE Investment Management and Brookfield have raised hundreds of millions of dollars in funds to specifically put toward green development. The trend goes beyond real estate: There were 292% more sustainability loans in the first five months of 2021 than there were in all of 2020, Bloomberg reported.

Earlier this year, Wells Fargo co-led the single largest CMBS loan in history alongside Goldman Sachs: a $2.3B refinancing of SL Green’s One Vanderbilt. It was also the first green bond property that Wells Fargo had ever provided financing for, Rosenberg said, which helped propel the deal toward the finish line. The bank initially had worries about investor demand for the AAA tranche of the bond; while it is the safest investment in the capital stack, it also delivers the smallest profit to investors, he said. But the office tower’s sustainability rating significantly increased demand. 

“By being able to put a green bond designation on it, we shattered all sorts of records,” Rosenberg said. “We had more investors come in as compared to any other typical skyscraper, trophy office building.” 

Since that deal, Rosenberg and his colleagues have received one or two calls per week from developers who ask about the benefit of the green bond and how much more interest it pulled from investors, he said.

Hines, the Houston-based development giant that has a $19.8B East region portfolio, is one such developer looking to leverage green building to get favorable financing, Hines Managing Director Chris Roth said. 

Hines is renovating one of its Hudson Square properties to include geothermal tiles, radiant slabs, air source heat pumps and chilled beams, among other things. It is looking for favorable financing terms because of the environmentally conscious nature of these upgrades, he said.  

“We're starting to get smart on financing options as a function of that,” Roth said. “I think you're starting to see, and you will continue to see, more development positions within existing assets and new assets to be able to accommodate for some of those creative green bonds.” 

The surge in green retrofits or new development, and the increase in funding available for such projects, is part of a flight-to-quality that began before the coronavirus pandemic and was accelerated by the crisis, he added. 

“Carbon neutrality is a big deal right now,” Roth said. “I think that also ties into the narrative around tenants looking for best-in-class product, which is not only safe [and] healthy, but also is responsible to the environment.” 

But green bonds are still new, Rosenberg said, and while there are a number of different ways to measure whether a building is environmentally friendly — such as LEED certifications — there is still not a clear, universal way to gauge exactly what makes a bond a green bond. As the use of green bonds takes off, the Securities and Exchange Commission has begun to attempt to codify the metrics for such a bond more clearly and uniformly.

“There's a movement to standardize this,” Rosenberg said. “So we can come out with a clear path and standard so developers can know what they should be shooting for. They’re going to probably help us, tell us what we should be shooting for, what the latest and greatest and best technology is.” 

The trend is not confined to the U.S. — green bonds are increasing in popularity on the other side of the Atlantic, where environmental issues are treated with more urgency

“The spread between green and non-green bonds is about 10 basis points at the moment, and that's because of the demand,” Samir AmichiBlackstone’s head of European acquisitions, said during a recent Bisnow event in London. "There is more demand for green financing than non-green, so that demand will only spread. It goes across all parts of the capital spectrum.” 

https://www.bisnow.com/new-york/news/office/green-building-could-help-developers-score-more-financing-110650

Wednesday, November 3, 2021

Zillow's home-flipping business made no sense: Barbara Corcoran

 Zillow (Z, ZG) will stop flipping homes, in a move that came just one day after Bloomberg reported that it was unloading 7,000 homes that it bought via its home-flipping business.

The company, known for its online real estate listings, probably should have never ventured into home flipping, also known as iBuying, according to Barbara Corcoran, real estate veteran and "Shark Tank" host. Zillow started Zoom Offers, its iBuying service, in 2018 under the stewardship of CEO Richard Barton, who also founded travel site Expedia. Zillow used algorithms to buy homes, repair them, and then sell them. At the time, Barton said he planned to buy 5,000 homes a month by 2024 — a lofty goal.

"Barton is a phenomenal business man. He's a disruptor... so no one thought they could stumble. And what he did, and I'm sure he gave it a lot of thought, but he went into a space that has nothing to do with finding homes for people," Corcoran told Yahoo Finance Live. "It is buying homes for flipping and none of the stars aligned. I remember at the time thinking, what the heck is he doing that for? It makes no sense at all."

Like many others, the company was likely "tempted" to control the entire house-hunting market since Zillow has access to sellers, Corcoran said. But what the company failed to consider was the magnitude of volatility in the housing market — its up and downs. 

"We've determined the unpredictability in forecasting home prices far exceeds what we anticipated and continuing to scale Zillow Offers would result in too much earnings and balance-sheet volatility," Barton said in a press statement.

'This is not a good flipping market'

In the third quarter, Zillow bought 9,700 homes and booked a $304 million writedown on inventory owned at the end of the period "as a result of purchasing homes in Q3 at higher prices than the company's current estimates of future selling prices ... Additionally, Homes segment Q3 revenue is below the company's previously provided outlook range due to resale capacity constraints that pushed a number of closings into Q4 that were previously expected to close in Q3," according to its latest earnings release on Nov. 2

Zillow shares plunged 11% after it announced it would be pulling the plug on home-flipping. Its stock closed down 23% on Wednesday.

Last month, Zillow said it would cease buying houses for the rest of the year as it struggled to find workers to fix houses it had under contract. "He never predicted how difficult it is to renovate a home and close it and put it back for sale," Corcoran said, referring to Zillow's CEO. "So he really bit off a lot more than he envisioned."

The wind-down of Zillow Offers is expected to take several quarters and will include a reduction of Zillow's workforce by approximately 25%.

According to the latest report available from property data provider ATTOM, profit margins for house flipping dipped to a 10-year low in the second quarter of 2021. 

"This is not a good flipping market," Corcoran said. "This is a buyers' and a sellers' markets where every home is dear and how do you really make money on that spread? It's tough."

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/zillows-home-flipping-business-made-no-sense-barbara-corcoran-203837226.html


Tuesday, November 2, 2021

USPS Adding 45 New Distribution Centers To Handle Holiday Crush

 Although the holiday shopping season has already begun, the U.S. Postal Service is jumping into the fray of the logistics nightmare that has befallen the country.

The USPS is securing and opening 45 new distribution centers on short-term leases with the goal of significantly increasing its package delivery capacity for this holiday season, The Wall Street Journal reports. The quasi-governmental agency is also in the process of adding 112 new sorting machines and 40,000 seasonal workers, though USPS' progress in reaching its hiring and space goals wasn't disclosed.

After he came under fire for attempting to take dozens of mail sorting machines down ahead of the 2020 presidential election, Postmaster General Louis DeJoy also presided over a holiday season in which USPS delivered around 17% of its packages late, compared to just over 10% for FedEx and 5% for UPS, according to ShipMatrix data reported by the WSJ. 

DeJoy, speaking at a 200K SF distribution center in the suburbs of Pittsburgh that USPS leased for a three-year term, chalked up the delays to the agency only finalizing its seasonal ramp-up plans in October, the WSJ reports. This year, USPS had its holiday projections in hand by February and has spent the rest of the year putting it into practice.

The percentage of packages USPS delivered on time has risen sharply over the first three quarters of this year, peaking in Q3 when it delivered about 97% of packages on time, besting both UPS and FedEx, according to ShipMatrix data reported by the WSJ.

DeJoy, who said the USPS' capacity-building initiative is on schedule, said that the postal service will be able to deliver about 50 million packages per day over the holiday season, a 35% increase from last year, the WSJ reports. He also indicated that like the Pittsburgh-area warehouse, the facilities USPS leases will be able to serve some distribution function even before equipment is fully moved in.

Should USPS still need to lease or buy any of the 45 distribution centers it is targeting, it will be during the most competitive market for warehouse space of all time. Similarly, its planned hiring surge is one of millions of seasonal jobs that retailers and logistics companies have been attempting to fill this season, with relatively little success.

The agency's ability to fulfill its on-time promises also depends on the situation at major U.S. ports improving, as perhaps the biggest current stumbling block for the supply chain is the backup in getting shipping containers off barges and onto trucks.

https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/industrial/usps-adding-45-distribution-centers-holiday-season-louis-dejoy-110714

Battle Over New NYC Lab Building May Hint At Budding Life Sciences Pushback

 Amid an anemic office environment, life sciences real estate projects often get welcomed as centers of innovation and employment. But a heated Manhattan zoning debate suggests that lab developers might want to be sure they factor in potential community pushback against their new developments, especially as the expected pace of urban conversions and lab development rises.

Placeholder
A rendering of the proposed Blood Center development in Manhattan.

The debate over a new facility for the New York Blood Center, as many of the key players in this land use saga on the Upper East Side of Manhattan explicitly say, turns on zoning issues such as building height, shadows and the wisdom of adding a new commercial tower to the neighborhood.

The city is being asked to approve a rezoning to transform the existing four-story headquarters into a $750M, 16-story, 596K SF vertical campus with lab and startup space. The Blood Center is pitching this project, to be developed by Boston-based Longfellow Real Estate Partners, as a key space for startups proximate to the medical district and centers of innovation such as New York-Presbyterian Hospital, the Hospital for Special SurgeryMemorial Sloan Kettering and Rockefeller University.

“I do think there’d be as much pushback if it wasn’t a lab project,” New York Blood Center Executive Vice President and Chief of Staff Rob Purvis said. “Everyone against the project recognizes how important the lab aspect is. Opposition would be the same.”

But the way this development has been debated, and the issues it raises, make it a cautionary tale for life sciences developers, regardless of the outcome of an expected mid-November vote in front of the entire New York City Council.

“It’s been handled poorly the entire way,” Council Member Ben Kallos said of the proposal, which is in his district. “If [life sciences developers] want a lesson on what not to do and what malpractice looks like, this is it.”

The expanding demand for life sciences space, especially in dense urban markets like New York City, San Francisco and Boston, suggests there will be more instances where life sciences developers aggressively seek new opportunities and come into contact with community groups.

New York City is racing to add more lab space — the city has devoted $1B to help develop new facilities — to meet rising demand and counter perceptions that it’s punching below its weight.  

There aren’t explicitly anti-lab NIMBYs yet, but maintaining the expected pace of lab conversions and ground-up developments in cities means it is probably a good idea for developers to be more proactive in making sure such issues don’t become more ingrained.

In San Francisco, City Supervisor Shamann Walton has introduced an ordinance to rescind a land use exception for the Dogpatch neighborhood, arguing that granting more space for lab and life sciences projects would potentially push out other commercial and retail uses that would be more likely to directly employ neighborhood residents.

Placeholder
The structure at 69 A St. in South Boston.

In South Boston, a neighborhood seeing extensive new development, lab projects are running into some opposition from residents, especially tenants in new high-end apartment towers who don’t want their views blocked by new developments. The Zoning Board of Appeal blocked the under-construction conversion of an office project at 69-71 A St. to labs in August; the developer sued the board this month to try to get work going again.

In many parts of Boston, which is in the midst of a lab development and conversion boom, residents have complained about new projects, specifically the large rooftop mechanicals and often loud HVAC systems. The city council’s planning commission even held a hearing on the matter this summer.

“There is more public engagement when an applicant wants to get a liquor license than there is to open a lab in the city of Boston,” a neighborhood association board member, Tom Ready, said during the hearing.

There have always been people sick of development, South Boston Neighborhood Development Council Executive Director Donna Brown said, but the pace of lab development is definitely creating issues, especially in areas that haven’t been through recent planning processes, where developers keep asking for variances for more height and density. 

“Because of the nature of lab space development, where you have noisier HVAC systems and need taller buildings, people do wonder what’s going on inside their labs and what they’re doing inside,” Brown said. “What is it going to be like living near one? There’s not much info for them.” 

The Blood Center claims years of research led them to conclude there isn’t another suitable site, and they need the for-profit partner and tower with lab space for startups to afford the expansion and not compromise their ability to do research and operate within the city. Opponents argue there have to be other places in the city where they can expand.

The midblock rezoning and the shadows the tower will cast on St. Catherine’s Park and the Julia Richman Education Complex, home to five public schools, are the main complaints. Kallos told Bisnow that the district and neighborhood were pro-development and had welcomed other life sciences projects nearby (including a new Extell Development tower and an upcoming Rockefeller University incubator). 

The Blood Center project is viewed entirely differently. State Sen. Liz Krueger said the neighborhood “can’t accept this radical rezoning,” and Manhattan Borough President Gale Brewer has also come out against the project.

“The Blood Center has been dishonest in their advocacy and won’t take no for an answer, and mentioned they need to do this for geographic proximity,” Kallos said. “I don’t know how I’m going to look my daughter in the eye if this gets approved on my watch. I’m sorry you don’t have a park with sun in it.” 

The Blood Center, originally a trade school when it was built in the 1930s, was constructed in the middle of a residential block at the time, an arrangement formalized in the 1980s when contextual zoning rules were introduced (technically, it is labeled a community facility). 

But when pressed about the unique nature of lab spaces, and whether they could be potentially vilified in a way, Purvis said, “I’m not so sure. It could evolve to something like that, it doesn’t appear to me that the lab space per se is the real issue.”

A spokesperson mentioned that, while the height of the building was the focus, there had been misinformation circulating about the biosafety level 3 labs in the facility — the facility has had labs with this security rating on-site for decades.

An opponent of the project, Friends of the Upper East Side Historic Districts Executive Director Rachel Levy, said everybody wants the center to succeed and expand, but the community pushback and “broad consensus” among elected officials have to do with the tower and midblock rezoning (which would go well above the current 75-foot height cap).

“We’ve seen the city make life sciences a clear priority for expansion, and there’s been sites the city has prioritized for development,” she said. “This isn’t one of those sites. The only reason we’re seeing this site come forward is the Blood Center happens to own it. It’s not about opposition to the industry or construction in this area.” 

But she also said there’s “some overlap” between the zoning concerns and the fact this will be a larger lab project on a more residential block. 

“Zoning is a stand-in for that — there is some concern,” she said. “I know the BSL3 lab has been on-site since the '80s. But there was initially a lack of disclosure that the new building would also contain BSL3 labs, and the lack of disclosure in the early filings raised alarms for the community. I’d like to focus on the zoning issues, and the precedent it would set, [but] there are people who are concerned about the lab issue.”

Purvis said that one of the narratives they had discussed around the project is that New York City lags so far behind in lab space compared to other cities at a time when the city has made life sciences a focus and is in the nascent stages of an economic recovery.

The Blood Center project “fits perfectly in that space,” he said. “The need is so clear cut."

When the project was first announced, Longfellow Managing Partner ​​Jamison Peschel said it would “help New York City establish itself as a major center for the advancement of cell and gene therapies around the world.”

If the plan is rejected, Purvis isn’t sure what comes next.

At a late October city council meeting, the Blood Center offered to reduce the proposed tower’s height by 50 feet to reduce the shadows impacting the park, a Patch report noted. But that hasn’t seemed to move the needle among the opposition ahead of the crucial November vote on the project.

“We’re still open to negotiations to try and make this work,” Purvis said.

https://www.bisnow.com/new-york/news/life-sciences/does-battle-over-proposed-nyc-lab-tower-foreshadow-life-sciences-nimbys-110697

Monday, November 1, 2021

Zillow Scrambles To Punt 7,000 Homes For $2.8B As AI Flipping Scheme Ends In Disaster

 On Sunday we reported that Zillow Group's AI-powered house flipping operation was a dismal failure - with 93% of homes in their Phoenix, Arizona portfolio (the company's second largest) currently listed at less than what the real estate company had paid, as revealed by an Insider investigation.

Today, Bloomberg reports that Zillow is looking to unload approximately 7,000 homes for $2.8 billion after halting their iBuyer program, according to people familiar with the matter.

Zillow is likely to sell the houses to a multitude of buyers rather than packaging them in a single transaction, said the people, who asked not to be named because the matter is private.

Zillow recently said it would stop making new offers in its home-flipping operation for the remainder of the year. The decision came after the company tweaked the algorithms that power the business to make higher offers, leaving it with a bevy of winning bids just as home price appreciation cooled off a bit. -Bloomberg

In September, Zillow put a record number of homes on the market - with the lowest markups since November 2018 according to research firm YipitData, which also noted that the company had cut prices on almost half of its US listings in the 3rd quarter.

In the second quarter, Zillow bought over 3,800 houses towards their stated goal of acquiring 5,000 homes per month by 2024.

In Phoenix, 36.5% of properties currently for sale were listed below their purchase price, while the remainder of the 93% started higher, only to have price reductions.

Launched in 2017, Zillow's iBuying arm uses a wide array of real-estate data with the goal of quickly and efficiently acquiring properties to flip for a profit. The program has vacuumed up properties across the country to flip, only to be met with fierce competition from services such as Redfin, Offerpad and Opendoor.

As we noted on Sunday, Zillow reports earnings on Tuesday.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/zillow-scrambles-punt-7000-homes-28-billion-ai-flipping-scheme-ends-disaster